Posts by Adam Baratta

The Market Could Have Further to Fall Before Finding a Bottom

The gold market s lower again today as some surprising economic data has caught the markets off-guard. In recent trade, spot gold was down nearly $7 per ounce at $1454.60 for the day. The market has continued to hold above support in the $1450 area, but another test of this area could potentially lead to a fresh leg lower in value. The market could even look to test the $1400 region before finding more willing, long-term buying interest. And that is just fine… The market... Continue Reading

Category |

Trade Talks Maybe Not Going So Well?

Wall St. has seen major stock indexes make fresh all-tine highs recently. Stocks have pulled back a bit in recent trade, however, and are lower again today. The primary reason for the lack of upside follow through could be a lack of progress in U.S./China trade negotiations. Recent headlines on trade have taken a slightly more mixed tone, while ongoing unrest in Hong Kong could also potentially upset things further The U.S. House of Representatives on Wednesday passed two bills that may have upset Beijing.... Continue Reading

Markets May be Tied Too Close to the Fed

The Federal Reserve has signaled that it may be done cutting rates, for now at least. Of course, the central bank could change its mind, and quickly, if the economic data stream shows further deterioration or if a U.S./China trade deal appears to be a no-go. Thus far, the Fed appears to be trying to maintain its patience, and the central bank could also see good things ahead for the U.S. economy. The markets may be tied too close to the fed. Another matter could... Continue Reading

Category |

How Quickly Things Can Change

After seeing some moderate selling in early trade today, the gold market has been clawing its way back to nearly the unchanged level for the session. At the heart of gold’s reversal could be commentary from President Donald Trump. The President recently suggested that the U.S. was not going to follow up on previous discussions phase out tariffs along with China as part of the Phase 1 trade agreement gets ready for signatures. Not surprisingly, the gold market’s rise today happens to coincide with stocks... Continue Reading

Category |

Another Sign of Strength

The gold market had a lackluster day overall. Prices were slightly higher in early afternoon trade as the bulls attempted to fight off numerous, bearish inputs that included stronger stocks, hopes for a U.S./China trade deal and more. The fact that gold did not, however, see any significant declines could be viewed as yet another important sign of strength. With stocks making a fresh all-time high today, selling was lackluster in the yellow metal. Stock investors appeared to be cheering on hopes for an initial... Continue Reading

Category |

Gold Slightly Lower

The gold market is getting hit hard in action on Thursday following significant weakness in the overnight session. The primary drivers behind the selling include weak data out of China, a higher dollar index and some corrective trade after recent gains. An apparent stall in U.S./China trade talks is not doing the market any favors, either. Chinese Data The Chinese economy continues to show signs of slowing as industrial output came out lower than expected. According to MarketWatch, the latest reading on industrial output rose... Continue Reading

Category |

Major Hurdles Down the Road

There are numerous reasons to own a significant allocation in gold. In fact, given the current economic and geopolitical landscape, it has arguably never been more important to have a significant allocation in this key asset class. Although the list of compelling reasons to own the metal can be quite extensive, there are three major themes that investors need to consider as economic and geopolitical dynamics shift. The economic expansion and bull market in stocks is likely at or near its end. As the global... Continue Reading

Category |

Fresh QE Has Arrived

The gold market rose to the highs of the day yesterday as markets reacted to commentary from Fed Chief Jerome Powell. Mr. Powell, at the annual NABE conference in Denver, said that the central bank will start expanding its balance sheet soon. He went on to state that the central bank also remains open to further rate cuts, citing risks to the global economy. Of note is the suggestion by Powell that this is in no way QE. He was quoted as saying “This is... Continue Reading

Category |

It’ll Keep Going

Recent pieces of key economic data have not painted a rosy picture. ISM manufacturing and services data have both shown significant declines, and the global financial market is now getting increasingly worried about the prospects for a recession in the U.S. Markets are now pricing in another Fed rate cut this month, and the central bank could even allude to further cuts if the data does not rebound. Although the risks of recession do appear to be on the rise, the next major recession could... Continue Reading

Another Warning Sign

There has been no shortage of talk about the ongoing global economic slowdown. It seems that there is a constant supply of fresh data suggesting that the slowdown is not only ongoing but could be accelerating. An ongoing slowdown, or even recession, should not come as a huge surprise at this point. The current expansion has gotten quite long in the tooth and began to falter as soon as the Fed tried to normalize monetary policy. In what may be considered another shot across the... Continue Reading

Category |