Posts by Adam Baratta

Why Buying Big on Dips Can Pay Off

The gold market has seen some significant dips in recent weeks. The market’s lack of upside follow-through combined with a breakdown below previous support levels has some pundits looking for further downside. As discussed in a recent post, large declines should not be feared but rather welcomed. A simple yet powerful strategy may look to buy heavier on any significant dips in price – say 5% or more. Although adding ounces on a regular basis is a great thing, buying heavier on such dips can... Continue Reading

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Cut Out the Noise from the Financial Media

Investors currently have a lot to digest and the financial media hasn’t helped. Stocks are in melt-up mode as earnings thus far have been strong and as key benchmarks carve out fresh all-time highs. The dollar has also followed suit and could potentially be headed for another leg higher. Risk appetite is strong while market volatility continues to probe lower. Financial Media Hyping Gold Declines As far as gold goes, there has been considerable talk of how it has been “broken” technically. The 200-day moving... Continue Reading

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Why the Dollar Is Overvalued

The U.S. dollar has been on the stronger side of the ledger in recent months. There are numerous factors at work that have kept the greenback moving higher, including strong U.S.  economic data and weakness in other regions. Creeping Weakness Affecting the Dollar Recent months have seen some significant weakness creep into the U.S. data stream, however, and China has been reporting some serious weakness of its own. The dollar has likely enjoyed the benefits of weaker growth in emerging markets and the fear of... Continue Reading

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Economy Looks Strong, But Looks Can Be Deceiving

Despite some recent bumps in the road, the economy has likely appeared to be fairly strong to the average onlooker. Looks can be deceiving, however, and perhaps the economy is not quite as strong as many have been led to believe. Look to the Experts Although there are many critics out there, some opinions may potentially carry more weight than others. When a former Fed Chairman speaks, it might be wise to listen. According to a recent article from MarketWatch, former Fed Chairman Alan Greenspan... Continue Reading

Does the Fed’s About Face Mean QE4 Is in the Cards?

Could quantitative easing be in our future? QE4 could be just around the corner… The notion of a global slowdown has been widely covered by the financial media in recent months. Weakness in key areas such as manufacturing has been seen in both China and the U.S. The Eurozone is seeing its own struggles as well, with Italy already in recession and Germany perhaps on its way. The slowing global economy has led the U.S. Fed to do a major about-face in recent weeks. It... Continue Reading

Negative Yields on the Rise

The German Government bond recently sank back below the 0% threshold for the first time since 2016. The decline in yields is part of an overall trend as investors become increasingly skittish about the prospects for the global economy. According to a recent article from MarketWatch, “the total sum of negative-yielding debt in bond issues represented in the Bloomberg Barclays Global Aggregate Bond Index stood at nearly $9.7 trillion, marking a more than 50% increase from September.” The recent decline in German bond yields put... Continue Reading

The Mueller Report Has Come and Gone… Now What?

The highly anticipated Mueller report has now come and gone. What could have resulted in significant market volatility and a major sell-off has ended up more like a whimper, having little to no impact on markets today. To be clear, however, the report could lead to additional political fighting as Democrats seek to see and release the full report and as other investigations continue. With the special counsel investigation now over, however, investors may again focus their attention elsewhere. The inverted yield curve caught the... Continue Reading

How About a Quick 18% Drop in Stocks?

Some analysts have been sounding the alarm bells for a drop in stocks for some time now. Although equities have not thus far fallen apart as some had suggested, the situation has become increasingly cautious. Another analyst recently came out with a call for an 18% drop in stocks. This, however, is one analyst you may want to listen to. His name is Gary Shilling, and he has a knack for calling turning points in the economy. Having called major turns in the 60s, then... Continue Reading

EU Slowdown May Be Worse Than Expected

It’s no secret that the Eurozone continues to struggle with a slow economy. The EU has seen many of the ups and downs that have been seen in the U.S. in recent years while also having to contend with numerous other issues such as massive sovereign debts and policy disagreements. Now, the ECB has slashed its growth and inflation forecasts for the year while also lowering the outlook for 2020 and 2021. This would seemingly acknowledge the fact that the slowdown being seen in Europe... Continue Reading

The Dollar Is Going Down

Is a significant dollar decline in the future? Over the weekend, Fed Chairman Jerome Powell was interviewed by CBS’ “60 Minutes” and discussed a range of topics. The Fed chief has been widely criticized by U.S. President Donald Trump (who appointed Powell) in recent months over the central bank’s plans to normalize monetary policy through interest rate hikes. Under Powell, the Fed raised interest rates four times in 2018 and could look to hike them further in the months ahead. The central bank began the... Continue Reading