Three Simple Reasons for Higher Gold

Although the gold market has been under some moderate selling pressure in recent trade, the future for the metal look bright-very bright. In fact, you could make the argument that the market has all the reasons in the world to go higher, and very few-if any-legitimate reasons to head lower. The rise in the yellow metal may not happen today, tomorrow, next week, or next month, but we believe it will continue its ascent in the years ahead and will not only reach its previous... Continue Reading

Be Ready for the Rebound

Gold has been on its heels in recent trade, as a number of factors have been working against the metal. Higher stocks, the possibility of a tax deal being made and a lack of any fresh bullish news have all likely played a role in the metal’s lackluster performance. The upcoming Fed meeting is also possibly taking a bite out of the market as well, as investors get ready for another 25 basis point hike from the central bank. A rate hike seems like a... Continue Reading

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Will Added Debt Finally Become Too Much?

Regardless of what you may think about the Trump administration’s tax reforms, the current levels of U.S. debt are not sustainable. With over $20 trillion in debt already, the nation could potentially add to the deficit as it lowers tax revenues. The argument for such a move is that increased economic activity and production will pave the way for that deficit to be brought back under control. Even if that proves to be the case, the problem with debt is that not only does the... Continue Reading

Isn’t the Whole Idea to Buy Low and Sell High?

When it comes to the gold market, perhaps the old saying should be changed to “buy low and sell high-if ever.” That is likely the mentality behind gold investors at this point, as the yellow metal remains stuck in a trading range. The gold market has some issues working against it currently. Higher stocks, a stronger economy and overall robust appetite for risk are all playing a role in the market’s current lack of upside follow through. In the absence of any fresh, bullish catalyst,... Continue Reading

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Just One Explanation for the Next Stock Market Crash

The stock market has been rallying for years now, and the bull market in equities is about a decade old at this point. In fact, the market has climbed some 250% since 2009, and as of right now there are no telltale signs of a downturn-yet. While investors may be offered numerous explanations for the heights currently being seen in the stock market, the many years of low interest rates along with massive QE have certainly played a role. Investors have seemingly turned their attention... Continue Reading

Don’t Be Fooled

It seems that everywhere you look these days, people are talking about how well the economy is doing. In fact, recent GDP data does point to further economic strength, and the Fed has even stated that it still plans on moving forward with additional rate hikes. Stocks continue to reach fresh all-time highs, and investor appetite for risk remains quite robust. There comes a time in every bull market, however, when investor complacency reaches levels that warrant a significant correction or even reversal in the... Continue Reading

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Yield Curve Playing a Role

The gold market is seeing some strength to begin the new trading week following the Thanksgiving Holiday shortened week. Some of the primary factors for gold’s recent strength are at work today, including a weaker dollar index and flattening yield curve. The dollar is losing ground as investors deliberate the confirmation hearing for new Fed Chief Jerome Powell as well as the potential for a tax deal actually getting done. The dollar chart is not pretty at this point, and the currency could be eyeing... Continue Reading

Watch Rates for Higher Gold

When it comes to the notion of higher interest rates, most investors automatically, and mistakenly, assume that higher rates equates to lower gold prices. Given the past decade of ultra-low rates and QE, however, such a correlation could actually have the direct, opposite effect of what many assume. The benchmark 10 year note could possibly hold the keys to substantially higher gold prices in the months and years ahead. That’s right: A higher 10 year yield could actually boost gold rather than drag it down.... Continue Reading

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The Bubble is Getting Bigger

According to Investopedia, a bubble is “an economic cycle characterized by rapid escalation of asset prices followed by a contraction. It is created by a surge in asset prices unwarranted by the fundamentals of the asset and driven by exuberant market behavior. When no more investors are willing to buy at the elevated price, a massive selloff occurs, causing the bubble to deflate.” According to Wikipedia, a bubble is defined as “trade in an asset at a price or price range that strongly exceeds the... Continue Reading

It’s Never Too Late to Get Started

Far too often, would-be investors make the mistake of assuming that they are too late. On the flip side of that coin, investors also have a strong tendency to demonstrate the opposite behavior. The current stock market is a great example of investors being late to the party. Stocks have been moving higher for a decade now, and the aging bull market has been showing some serious signs of being overbought. Valuations are at levels often seen before major corrections or bear markets, and yet... Continue Reading