Why Buying Big on Dips Can Pay Off

The gold market has seen some significant dips in recent weeks. The market’s lack of upside follow-through combined with a breakdown below previous support levels has some pundits looking for further downside. As discussed in a recent post, large declines should not be feared but rather welcomed. A simple yet powerful strategy may look to buy heavier on any significant dips in price – say 5% or more. Although adding ounces on a regular basis is a great thing, buying heavier on such dips can... Continue Reading

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Cut Out the Noise from the Financial Media

Investors currently have a lot to digest and the financial media hasn’t helped. Stocks are in melt-up mode as earnings thus far have been strong and as key benchmarks carve out fresh all-time highs. The dollar has also followed suit and could potentially be headed for another leg higher. Risk appetite is strong while market volatility continues to probe lower. Financial Media Hyping Gold Declines As far as gold goes, there has been considerable talk of how it has been “broken” technically. The 200-day moving... Continue Reading

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Has the Dollar Peaked?

The stronger dollar has likely been a major factor in gold’s lack of upside follow-through in recent months. The currency hit its highest level of the year last week but is seeing a mild pullback today in early action. The greenback’s strength is not really all that surprising – it has benefitted from concerns over global growth and interest rate differentials. The Dollar Is Near a Top… The dollar may be at or near a top, however, and could soon see a significant price reversal.... Continue Reading

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Lower Prices Not to Be Feared

The gold market has been under pressure in recent days, and prices are trading at their lowest point of the year. Numerous “analysts” have already covered gold’s fall through support in the $1280-$1290 region and have suggested that lower prices may be in store. For the patient, long-term investor, this is a positive that should be welcomed. The notion of buy low, sell high is not new and has served investors well for ages. Are You Considering Lower Prices or Good Value? Long-term investors should... Continue Reading

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Why the Dollar Is Overvalued

The U.S. dollar has been on the stronger side of the ledger in recent months. There are numerous factors at work that have kept the greenback moving higher, including strong U.S.  economic data and weakness in other regions. Creeping Weakness Affecting the Dollar Recent months have seen some significant weakness creep into the U.S. data stream, however, and China has been reporting some serious weakness of its own. The dollar has likely enjoyed the benefits of weaker growth in emerging markets and the fear of... Continue Reading

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Economy Looks Strong, But Looks Can Be Deceiving

Despite some recent bumps in the road, the economy has likely appeared to be fairly strong to the average onlooker. Looks can be deceiving, however, and perhaps the economy is not quite as strong as many have been led to believe. Look to the Experts Although there are many critics out there, some opinions may potentially carry more weight than others. When a former Fed Chairman speaks, it might be wise to listen. According to a recent article from MarketWatch, former Fed Chairman Alan Greenspan... Continue Reading

Surprise, Surprise… The Fed Is Stuck

Wednesday afternoon brought the release of the latest Fed meeting minutes. The minutes detailed what some analysts already knew: The central bank is on hold for the rest of the year and will not raise rates further. The Central Bank Is on Hold for 2019 Numerous Issues Cited by the Fed The Fed cited numerous issues that weighed in its decision: A general unease over the U.S. and global economies, the ongoing trade war with China, a lack of inflation and a messy Brexit. Fed... Continue Reading

Does the Fed’s About Face Mean QE4 Is in the Cards?

Could quantitative easing be in our future? QE4 could be just around the corner… The notion of a global slowdown has been widely covered by the financial media in recent months. Weakness in key areas such as manufacturing has been seen in both China and the U.S. The Eurozone is seeing its own struggles as well, with Italy already in recession and Germany perhaps on its way. The slowing global economy has led the U.S. Fed to do a major about-face in recent weeks. It... Continue Reading

Buy the Rumor, Sell the Fact

Stock markets have recently put together an impressive string of gains that has taken the benchmark S&P 500 above previous resistance. Stocks could potentially be headed for an attempt at fresh all-time highs as volatility continues to decline. And why shouldn’t they? The Fed has become increasingly dovish; a U.S./China trade deal may be getting close, and jobless claims are at the lowest level in 50 years. Against this positive backdrop for stocks, however, lurk a number of issues that could derail risk assets in... Continue Reading

Negative Yields on the Rise

The German Government bond recently sank back below the 0% threshold for the first time since 2016. The decline in yields is part of an overall trend as investors become increasingly skittish about the prospects for the global economy. According to a recent article from MarketWatch, “the total sum of negative-yielding debt in bond issues represented in the Bloomberg Barclays Global Aggregate Bond Index stood at nearly $9.7 trillion, marking a more than 50% increase from September.” The recent decline in German bond yields put... Continue Reading