Posts On Market Update

Buy the Dips

Stocks finished the day after Thanksgiving moderately lower. Gold, on the other hand, finished the day with strength, up nearly $9 per ounce on the session. Of course, lower stocks and higher gold could be due to a wide variety of reasons. The day could, however, be indicative of trends to come. The day’s upside in gold puts a little distance between the market and chart support in the $1450 area. Another dip towards $1450 could, however, see further buying interest and perhaps even a... Continue Reading

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The Market Could Have Further to Fall Before Finding a Bottom

The gold market s lower again today as some surprising economic data has caught the markets off-guard. In recent trade, spot gold was down nearly $7 per ounce at $1454.60 for the day. The market has continued to hold above support in the $1450 area, but another test of this area could potentially lead to a fresh leg lower in value. The market could even look to test the $1400 region before finding more willing, long-term buying interest. And that is just fine… The market... Continue Reading

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Has Gold Found a Bottom?

It’s no secret that the gold market has struggled for several weeks now. Following a convincing upside breakout in price that took the market to over the $1500 level, the gold bulls have not seen the type of follow through that they are looking for. In fact, prices have been on the decline since finding a top with seemingly little to stop the recent descent. The gold market has possibly now found a bottom. Although it is too early to tell; recent price action could... Continue Reading

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Markets May be Tied Too Close to the Fed

The Federal Reserve has signaled that it may be done cutting rates, for now at least. Of course, the central bank could change its mind, and quickly, if the economic data stream shows further deterioration or if a U.S./China trade deal appears to be a no-go. Thus far, the Fed appears to be trying to maintain its patience, and the central bank could also see good things ahead for the U.S. economy. The markets may be tied too close to the fed. Another matter could... Continue Reading

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How Quickly Things Can Change

After seeing some moderate selling in early trade today, the gold market has been clawing its way back to nearly the unchanged level for the session. At the heart of gold’s reversal could be commentary from President Donald Trump. The President recently suggested that the U.S. was not going to follow up on previous discussions phase out tariffs along with China as part of the Phase 1 trade agreement gets ready for signatures. Not surprisingly, the gold market’s rise today happens to coincide with stocks... Continue Reading

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All-Time Highs May Weigh

The gold market, is often the case, has numerous, major implications working both for and against it. To start the new trading week, the market is having to grapple with fresh all-time highs in stocks. It’s really no surprise that fresh equity all-time highs might act as a downward pressure on gold and other hard asset prices. Investors are drinking the Kool-Aid currently, and word that “Phase 1” of a U.S./China trade deal is almost ready for signatures is playing with people’s emotions. Despite the... Continue Reading

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Gold Slightly Lower

The gold market is getting hit hard in action on Thursday following significant weakness in the overnight session. The primary drivers behind the selling include weak data out of China, a higher dollar index and some corrective trade after recent gains. An apparent stall in U.S./China trade talks is not doing the market any favors, either. Chinese Data The Chinese economy continues to show signs of slowing as industrial output came out lower than expected. According to MarketWatch, the latest reading on industrial output rose... Continue Reading

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You Can’t Afford to Wait

Stock markets are sharply higher today as hopes for a U.S./China trade deal appear to be on the rise. The ongoing trade war has been a source of market volatility and significant shifts in sentiment for several months now. Although a deal may boost stocks in the short-term, there are still many major hurdles to an ongoing stock bull market. In fact, given the age of the bull market and the state of the global economy, the market is far more likely to be at... Continue Reading

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Fresh QE Has Arrived

The gold market rose to the highs of the day yesterday as markets reacted to commentary from Fed Chief Jerome Powell. Mr. Powell, at the annual NABE conference in Denver, said that the central bank will start expanding its balance sheet soon. He went on to state that the central bank also remains open to further rate cuts, citing risks to the global economy. Of note is the suggestion by Powell that this is in no way QE. He was quoted as saying “This is... Continue Reading

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A Divided Fed

The Federal Reserve elected to cut interest rates again by 25-basis points at the conclusion of its meeting this week. The committee voted in favor of the cut by a margin of 7-3. The split may have been more than markets anticipated, and the Fed’s commentary was deemed to be not so easy when it comes to monetary policy. 7 of 17 FOMC members expect just one more rate cut this year. The not so dovish meeting sent stocks lower initially before they recovered. The... Continue Reading

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